2024 Recession Odds

2024 Recession Odds. Goldman sachs sees just 15 percent odds of a recession over the next 12 months and thinks the economy is on its “ final descent ” to a soft landing. On the other hand, 84% of ceos are.

This is higher than the long term average of 14.85%. View an estimate of the probability of recession based on employment, industrial production, real personal income, and real manufacturing and trade sales.